ilmscore | US Government Borrowing Costs Predictions
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Accuracy

Recent Predictions

Total: 4
Correct: 2
Incorrect: 0
Pending: 2
Unrated: 0
Prediction
Author
Predicted at
Status
Video
Increased purchasing of short-term treasuries by stablecoin issuers may lead to lower short-term yields, reducing the cost of borrowing for the US government.
"And as stable coin issuers buy more short-term treasuries, this could actually push down short-term ..."
Dec 16, 2025
Correct
Repeated government shutdowns and institutional decay, though not immediately visible in markets, will likely lead to a permanent increase in US government borrowing costs over time.
"It's not visible dayto-day. Markets don't price in institutional decay the way they price in earning..."
Sep 30, 2025
Pending
Repeated government shutdowns and fiscal brinkmanship will lead to a permanent increase in US government borrowing costs over time, impacting the global financial system.
"compound this over decades and they'll contribute to a permanent increase in government borrowing co..."
Sep 30, 2025
Correct
The US government's borrowing costs have slightly increased following the credit rating downgrade.
"this downgrade is extremely small and if you look at any other Bond charts over the last few days yo..."
Aug 3, 2023
Pending